Franklin Central
Boys - Girls
2011 - 2012 - 2013
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State Rank #6
Carmel Semi-State Rank #3
Rushville Regional Rank #1
New Palestine Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 3rd place at State Finals
State Champion 0.1%
Top 5 at State Finals 55.5%
Top 10 at State Finals 95.5%
Advance to State Finals 98.9%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%

RankNameGradeRating
48  Carolyn Talhelm 12 19:18
58  Brooke Talhelm 9 19:23
77  Christina Matthies 10 19:36
78  Lexi McCann 10 19:37
85  Cailyn Adams 10 19:40
98  Emily Welch 9 19:46
112  Natalie Nolting 12 19:50
Crysta Wall 11 20:15
Haley Welch 11 20:17
Jenna Woodley 9 21:08
Megan Barnhart 10 21:23
Sarah Cougill 10 21:28
DateRace Rating
08/18 Harvey Invitational 226
09/01 Harrison Invitational 210
09/08 Ben Davis Invitational 195
09/15 Flashrock Invitational 244
09/29 Marion County Meet 234
10/03 Conference Indiana 217
10/09 New Palestine Sectional 334
10/13 Rushville Regional 232
10/20 Carmel Semi-State 191
10/27 State Finals 195




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.




Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 98.9% 5.5 217 0.1 5.1 17.6 16.4 16.2 13.9 10.8 7.0 5.2 3.1 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 2.7 116 0.2 54.0 28.5 10.0 4.2 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 1.0 17 100.0
Sectionals 100% 1.0 16 100.0



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carolyn Talhelm 98.9% 48.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.9 0.0% 23.2%
Brooke Talhelm 98.9% 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.0% 14.5%
Christina Matthies 98.9% 69.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0% 2.2%
Lexi McCann 98.9% 69.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0% 1.6%
Cailyn Adams 98.9% 72.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0% 1.3%
Emily Welch 98.9% 80.6 0.0 0.0% 0.3%
Natalie Nolting 98.9% 85.0 0.0 0.0% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carolyn Talhelm 100% 18.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.0 2.6 3.9 4.8 5.7 6.7 7.1 7.0 6.7 6.7 5.9 5.5 4.3 4.2 3.6 100.0%
Brooke Talhelm 100% 21.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.2 3.3 4.3 4.8 5.4 5.9 6.1 6.0 6.3 5.6 5.4 5.0 4.6 100.0%
Christina Matthies 100% 28.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.6 1.9 2.6 2.6 3.5 3.8 4.4 4.4 4.8 100.0%
Lexi McCann 100% 29.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.1 3.3 4.0 4.2 4.2 100.0%
Cailyn Adams 100% 31.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.5 3.4 3.8 100.0%
Emily Welch 100% 36.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.5 1.9 2.2 100.0%
Natalie Nolting 100% 39.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.9 1.4 1.8 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carolyn Talhelm 100% 1.1 47.4 26.7 12.8 6.5 3.4 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Brooke Talhelm 100% 1.8 26.6 30.0 18.3 11.5 6.3 3.5 2.1 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Christina Matthies 100% 4.4 3.7 8.5 14.9 16.8 16.3 13.6 10.4 7.5 4.6 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Lexi McCann 100% 4.5 3.2 8.1 14.8 16.3 16.4 13.2 11.1 7.8 5.3 2.3 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cailyn Adams 100% 5.2 1.8 5.8 10.9 13.3 15.0 15.4 14.0 10.2 7.2 4.0 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Emily Welch 100% 6.8 0.5 1.6 4.2 7.4 10.5 13.5 15.9 16.4 14.2 9.0 4.0 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
Natalie Nolting 100% 7.6 0.1 0.9 2.4 4.5 7.4 10.3 14.4 17.5 16.9 13.4 6.9 3.3 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Carolyn Talhelm 1.0 55.6 27.3 10.5 4.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.1
Brooke Talhelm 1.5 31.5 36.2 17.3 8.6 3.5 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
Christina Matthies 3.6 4.5 11.2 20.8 21.3 17.9 12.4 7.7 3.2 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
Lexi McCann 3.7 3.8 11.6 20.7 21.3 18.0 12.6 7.8 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.1
Cailyn Adams 4.3 2.4 7.3 15.4 19.5 20.4 16.4 11.5 5.3 1.4 0.4 0.1
Emily Welch 5.6 0.5 2.2 6.5 11.2 16.9 22.2 22.2 12.0 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.0
Natalie Nolting 6.2 0.2 1.0 3.6 7.0 12.3 19.6 27.3 18.4 7.3 2.5 0.8 0.1